Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, SportsEngine Play, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	OneFootball TV


	Paris FC		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.70	2.65
	2.52	3.45	2.65	Watch
	2.58	3.55	2.82
	2.53	3.64	2.66	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.75
	2.51	3.69	2.69	Watch
	2.55	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.64)	3.6 ↑ (3.56)	2.69 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
38%

Draw
26.5%

Lyon
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	41.4%	37.9%

Paris FC - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Lyon will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.5% – 59.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lyon (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Paris FC (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Lyon (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trapp K. (G) 31. Chergui S. 42. Coppola D. 14. Traore H. 17. Camara A. 20. Lopez M. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 15. Koleosho L. 10. Kebbal I. 7. Pagis P. 9. Sinayoko L.	1. Greif D. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 19. Niakhate M. 16. Abner Vinicius 2. Bidstrup M. 23. Morton T. 7. Nuamah E. 10. Sulc P. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 17. Openda L.
Substitutes
93. Ikone J. 25. Kore Y. 4. Marchetti V. 23. Matondo R. 5. Mbow M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 27. Simon M. 18. Sissoko O. 8. Zabi P.	26. Boudache K. 40. Descamps R. (G) 21. Kluivert R. 22. Mata C. 18. Merah K. 11. Nakamura K. 99. Nartey N. 3. Tagliafico N. 6. Tessmann T.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Openda L. 🟨,
69', Coppola D. 🟨,
75', Openda L. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
77', Traore H. 🟨,
79', Koleosho L. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
79', Pagis P. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
87', Kebbal I. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
87', Bidstrup M. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
87', Nuamah E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Paris FC: Otavio (Injury) Sangui N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Ikone J. (Hamstring Injury) Mbemba E. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 4.01% Paris FC: 1.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Paris FC - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Lyon - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.57%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
06.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Troyes - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Angers - Paris FC	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Stuttgart - Paris FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTLT
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Lyon - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.08.26	Toulouse - Lyon	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Lyon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Lyon - Paris FC	1:1
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3
Coupe De France
17.12.21	Paris FC - Lyon	Canceled

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