Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	17:00	ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	00:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Max
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K, MEGA
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	01:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	22:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	02:00	Qazsport, Q Sport
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7, TVM Sport+
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Voyo
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea
Uzbekistan	01:00	Zor TV
Venezuela	16:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, SportsMax App, Virgin TV Go app


	Paris Saint-Germain		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.7	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.6
	2.45	3.8	2.72	Watch
	2.49	3.81	2.75
	2.52	3.8	2.67	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.6
	2.48	4	2.73
	2.45	3.8	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	3.79 ↑ (3.79)	2.69 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
39%

Draw
25.3%

Manchester City
35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

24.9%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Paris Saint-Germain have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Manchester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.4%	25.5%	31.1%

Paris Saint Germain - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 104 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 45 - 43.3%). Man City will win (votes: 33 - 31.7%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 33.8% – 52.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 8. Ruiz F. 17. Vitinha 87. Neves J. 19. Lee Kang-In 14. Doue D. 29. Barcola B.	31. Ederson (G) 27. Nunes M. 25. Akanji M. 3. Dias R. 24. Gvardiol J. 8. Kovacic M. 20. Silva B. 47. Foden P. 17. De Bruyne K. (C) 26. Savinho 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
11. Asensio M. 35. Beraldo L. 10. Dembele O. 21. Hernandez L. 3. Kimpembe P. 24. Mayulu S. 9. Ramos G. 39. Safonov M. (G) 48. Tape A. 80. Tenas A. (G) 42. Zague Y. 33. Zaire-Emery W.	68. Alleyne M. 33. Carson S. (G) 10. Grealish J. 19. Gundogan I. 82. Lewis R. 87. McAtee J. 75. O'Reilly N. 18. Ortega S. (G) 5. Stones J. 56. Wright J.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Dias R. 🟨,
23', Mendes N. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Lee Kang-In ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
46', Savinho ↓, Grealish J. ↑,
46', Dias R. ↓, Lewis R. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Grealish J. ⚽,
53', 0 - 2, Haaland E. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Dembele O. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
60', 2 - 2, Barcola B. ⚽, Doue D. (A),
61', Doue D. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
61', Ruiz F. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
70', De Bruyne K. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
70', Kovacic M. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
78', Nunes M. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Neves J. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
81', Barcola B. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 2, Ramos G. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 1.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in PSG: Mbaye I. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Man City: Ake N. (Muscle Injury) Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Man City: Stones J. (Ankle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches PSG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
18.01.25	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Espaly - Paris Saint-Germain	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
French Super Cup
05.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW
- Manchester City
English Premier League
19.01.25	Ipswich Town - Manchester City	0:6 ✺
14.01.25	Brentford - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Manchester City - Salford City	8:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Manchester City - West Ham United	4:1 ✺
29.12.24	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
24.11.21	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1
28.09.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City	2:0
04.05.21	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	2:0
28.04.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City	1:2
12.04.16	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0
06.04.16	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City	2:2

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