Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 22

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ipswich Town		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.45
	6.5	4.75	1.46
	7	4.95	1.46
	6.67	4.78	1.49	Watch
	6	4.5	1.5
	6.47	4.79	1.51	Watch
	7	4.95	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↓ (8.12)	4.75 ↓ (5.5)	1.48 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network (4K)

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
14.6%

Draw
20.3%

Manchester City
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

17.5%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

15.4%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	10%	75.7%

Ipswich Town - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 10 - 14.3%). Man City will win (votes: 53 - 75.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 65.7% – 85.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 18. Johnson B. 44. Godfrey B. 26. O'Shea D. 15. Burgess C. 3. Davis L. 20. Hutchinson O. 12. Cajuste J. 5. Morsy S. (C) 47. Clarke J. 19. Delap L.	31. Ederson (G) 27. Nunes M. 3. Dias R. 25. Akanji M. 24. Gvardiol J. 19. Gundogan I. 8. Kovacic M. 47. Foden P. 17. De Bruyne K. (C) 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
33. Broadhead N. 7. Burns W. 27. Hirst G. 25. Luongo M. 1. Muric A. (G) 29. Philogene J. 14. Taylor J. 22. Townsend C. 40. Tuanzebe A.	68. Alleyne M. 10. Grealish J. 82. Lewis R. 87. McAtee J. 67. Mubama D. 75. O'Reilly N. 18. Ortega S. (G) 26. Savinho 20. Silva B.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
27', 0 - 1, Foden P. ⚽, De Bruyne K. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Kovacic M. ⚽, Foden P. (A),
42', 0 - 3, Foden P. ⚽, De Bruyne K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 4, Doku J. ⚽, De Bruyne K. (A),
57', 0 - 5, Haaland E. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
63', Foden P. ↓, Grealish J. ↑,
63', De Bruyne K. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
63', Haaland E. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
64', Clarke J. ↓, Philogene J. ↑,
64', Cajuste J. ↓, Luongo M. ↑,
64', Godfrey B. ↓, Tuanzebe A. ↑,
69', 0 - 6, McAtee J. ⚽, Kovacic M. (A),
72', Akanji M. ↓, O'Reilly N. ↑,
72', Kovacic M. ↓, Lewis R. ↑,
73', Hutchinson O. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
73', Delap L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
79', Nunes M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 8).

Recent matches Ipswich is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Man City is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ipswich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Man City is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Chaplin C. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Phillips K. (Loan agreement) Szmodics S. (Ankle Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Dias R. (Muscle Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Man City: Stones J. (Ankle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
16.01.25	Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Ipswich Town - Bristol Rovers	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.01.25	Fulham - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
30.12.24	Ipswich Town - Chelsea	2:0 ✺
27.12.24	Arsenal - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWTWL
- Manchester City
English Premier League
14.01.25	Brentford - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Manchester City - Salford City	8:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Manchester City - West Ham United	4:1 ✺
29.12.24	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Manchester City - Everton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.08.24	Manchester City - Ipswich Town	4:1

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