Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Brentford		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.57
	4.6	4.33	1.65
	5.3	4.4	1.6
	5.2	4.4	1.63
	15.73	5.34	1.23	Watch
	5.25	4.54	1.65	Watch
	4.75	4.25	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (4.8)	4.54 ↑ (4.39)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brentford
15.1%

Draw
21.8%

Manchester City
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

21.7%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

20.9%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	5.9%	83.8%

Brentford - Manchester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Brentford (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.5 - Man City (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Man City (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Man City (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (57 of 68 users predict this - 83.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.07% – 92.57%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Man City (votes: 33 - 86.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 20. Ajer K. 4. van den Berg S. 22. Collins N. (C) 2. Hickey A. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 6. Henderson J. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.	25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 3. Dias R. (C) 24. Gvardiol J. 33. O'Reilly N. 16. Rodri 52. Bobb O. 4. Reijnders T. 47. Foden P. 26. Savinho 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
14. Carvalho F. 3. Henry R. 27. Janelt V. 8. Jensen M. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 15. Onyeka F. 19. Ouattara Da. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G)	6. Ake N. 10. Cherki R. 11. Doku J. 8. Kovacic M. 82. Lewis R. 14. Nico 20. Silva B. 5. Stones J. 1. Trafford J. (G)
Coaches
Andrews K.	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Gvardiol J. (A),
22', Rodri ↓, Nico ↑,
45+1', Schade K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Thiago I. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
68', Damsgaard M. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
70', Henderson J. 🟨,
73', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Onyeka F. ↑,
74', Henderson J. ↓, Janelt V. ↑,
76', Bobb O. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
77', Reijnders T. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
77', Nunes M. 🟨,
83', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
84', Ouattara Da. 🟨,
90+2', Ajer K. ↓, Carvalho F. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.

Brentford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Man City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brentford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Man City is the team to beat.

There will not play in Brentford: Maghoma P. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R. (Ankle Injury) Khusanov A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Man City: Cherki R. (Thigh Injury) Marmoush O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
27.09.25	Brentford - Manchester United	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Fulham - Brentford	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.25	Brentford - Aston Villa	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Brentford - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Sunderland - Brentford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWTL
- Manchester City
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Monaco - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
27.09.25	Manchester City - Burnley	5:1 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.25	Huddersfield Town - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
21.09.25	Arsenal - Manchester City	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Manchester City - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.01.25	Brentford - Manchester City	2:2
14.09.24	Manchester City - Brentford	2:1
20.02.24	Manchester City - Brentford	1:0
05.02.24	Brentford - Manchester City	1:3
28.05.23	Brentford - Manchester City	1:0
12.11.22	Manchester City - Brentford	1:2
09.02.22	Manchester City - Brentford	2:0

Upcoming Matches