Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	RB Leipzig		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6.5	Watch
	1.41	4.8	7	Watch
	1.41	4.9	7
	1.45	4.9	6.4
	1.46	4.92	7.4
	1.42	4.6	7	Watch
	1.43	5.05	7.2	Watch
	1.44	5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	4.9 ↑ (4.86)	6.91 ↓ (6.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
66.7%

Draw
19.5%

Hertha Berlin
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

19.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

19%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.2%	13.4%	13.4%

RB Leipzig - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 60 - 73.2%). Hertha will win (votes: 11 - 13.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 13.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 63.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).

RB Leipzig has the most likely position - 3 (14.02%), has project points - 55, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (43%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Hertha has the most likely position - 16 (14.39%), has project points - 36, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 69, importance 50, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 4.

RB Leipzig is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hertha is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match RB Leipzig is absolute favorite.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gulacsi P. (Knee Injury) Klostermann L. (Ankle Injury) Laimer K. (Ankle Injury) Olmo D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hertha: Boetius J-P. (Surgery) Ngankam J. (Muscle Injury) Nsona K. (Knee Injury) Uremovic F. (Injury)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Halstenberg M. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 45-13.

Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
UEFA Champions League
11.10.22	Celtic - RB Leipzig	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
08.10.22	Mainz - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.10.22	RB Leipzig - Celtic	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.10.22	RB Leipzig - Bochum	4:0 ✺
17.09.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWL
- Hertha Berlin
German Bundesliga
09.10.22	Hertha Berlin - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
02.10.22	Hertha Berlin - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.09.22	1. FC Frankfurt - Hertha Berlin	0:8 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.09.22	Mainz - Hertha Berlin	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Hertha Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.02.22	Hertha Berlin - RB Leipzig	1:6
25.09.21	RB Leipzig - Hertha Berlin	6:0
21.02.21	Hertha Berlin - RB Leipzig	0:3
24.10.20	RB Leipzig - Hertha Berlin	2:1
27.05.20	RB Leipzig - Hertha Berlin	2:2
09.11.19	Hertha Berlin - RB Leipzig	2:4
30.03.19	RB Leipzig - Hertha Berlin	5:0

Upcoming Matches