Match Info

Date: 28 September 2021, Tuesday


	RB Leipzig		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.4	4.75	7.75
	1.47	5	7
	1.44	5	6.6
	1.44	5.03	7.64
	1.44	4.6	7
	1.44	5.05	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)	4.88 ↑ (4.4)	7.3 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
67.1%

Draw
19.7%

Club Brugge
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

13.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-29.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RB Leipzig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	5.4%	6.6%

RB Leipzig - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (146 of 166 users predict this - 87.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83% – 92.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

RB Leipzig has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (9%), has a chance of 2nd (44%), has a chance of 3rd (36%), has a good chance of round of 16 (53%), has a chance of qtrs (28%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Brugge has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (4%), has a chance of 3rd (17%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

RB Leipzig is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brugge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brugge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match RB Leipzig is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
25.09.21	RB Leipzig - Hertha Berlin	6:0 ✺
18.09.21	Köln - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Manchester City - RB Leipzig	6:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
11.09.21	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
29.08.21	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WTLLL
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.09.21	Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
18.09.21	Charleroi - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Club Brugge - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.09.21	Club Brugge - Oostende	3:0 ✺
29.08.21	Gent - Club Brugge	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWTWL

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