Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: Irrati M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Reggina		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.5	3	3
	2.45	2.9	3.05
	2.46	3.06	3.4
	2.36	3.16	3.15	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.54)	3.01 ↑ (2.93)	3.16 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
39%

Draw
31.3%

Parma
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

32%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	70.6%	11.8%

Reggina - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Parma will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 6 (14.05%), has project points - 55, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Parma has the most likely position - 7 (13.04%), has project points - 54, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (62%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, small importance 26, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Reggio Calabria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Parma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Parma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
28.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Reggina - Modena	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Cittadella - Reggina	3:2 ✺
11.02.23	Reggina - Pisa	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Palermo - Reggina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
28.02.23	Parma - Pisa	0:1 ✺
24.02.23	Frosinone - Parma	3:4 ✺
18.02.23	Parma - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Ternana - Parma	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Parma - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Parma - Reggina	2:0
05.03.22	Parma - Reggina	1:1
24.10.21	Reggina - Parma	2:1

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