Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Patriotas		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.35
	2.19	3.25	3.59
	2.15	3.25	3.43
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.17	3.27	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.2)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)	3.38 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
43.4%

Draw
29.1%

Boyacá Chicó
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Patriotas - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: Patriotas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Patriotas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Patriotas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Patriotas won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Envigado - Patriotas	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Patriotas - Real Cartagena	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Patriotas - Leones	1:0 ✺
26.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Patriotas	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Patriotas - Boca Juniors de Cali	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLT
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Boyacá Chicó	4:0 ✺
22.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
03.11.24	Patriotas - Boyacá Chicó	3:0
14.04.24	Boyacá Chicó - Patriotas	1:2
30.01.21	Patriotas - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
30.11.20	Boyacá Chicó - Patriotas	1:3
29.02.20	Patriotas - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
29.01.20	Boyacá Chicó - Patriotas	1:0
Colombian Copa
13.03.19	Patriotas - Boyacá Chicó	0:0

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