Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 1

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Olimpico do Para (Mangueirao) (Belem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paysandu		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.50	4.50
	1.67	3.50	4.40	Watch
	1.71	3.67	4.73
	1.72	3.72	4.57	Watch
	1.69	3.60	4.45
	1.73	3.67	4.55	Watch
	1.68	3.45	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.49)	3.59 ↓ (3.8)	4.5 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
54.1%

Draw
25.5%

Brusque
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.7%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

25%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brusque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Paysandu - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Brusque will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 8. Caio Mello 2. Edilson 3. Gustavo Henrique 9. Italo Carvalho 75. Kleiton Pego 77. Luciano Taboca 10. Marcinho (C) 44. Pedro Carrerette 39. Pedro Henrique 19. Thayllon	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 5. Bernardo (C) 4. Cipriano 7. Gazao 2. Jeferson 10. Joao Pedro 9. Marlyson 11. Petterson Novaes 6. Raimar 3. Ryan Santos
Substitutes
23. Brian Macapa 14. Bruno Bispo 15. Castro 18. Eduardo 1. Jean Drosny (G) 98. Juninho 99. Lucas Cardoso 22. Lucas Rodrigues 80. Pablo 55. Radsley 21. Renan Castro 30. Thalyson	18. Alvaro 20. Ariel 22. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 13. Joao Maistro 8. Jonatan Lucca 15. Leonardo Ataide 19. Macario 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 14. Rafael Milhorim 21. Renan
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Higo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Caio Mello 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Marlyson ⚽,
37', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
39', Bernardo 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Marcinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luciano Taboca ↓, Renan Castro ↑,
46', Thayllon ↓, Juninho ↑,
61', Kleiton Pego ↓, Thalyson ↑,
61', Caio Mello ↓, Brian Macapa ↑,
61', Renan Castro ↓, Radsley ↑,
69', Petterson Novaes ↓, Rafael Milhorim ↑,
70', Marlyson ↓, Clinton ↑,
70', Joao Pedro ↓, Ariel ↑,
73', 🟨,
74', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
76', Bernardo ↓, Jonatan Lucca ↑,
77', Jonatan Lucca 🟨,
82', Cipriano 🟨,
86', Adrianinho ↓, Renan ↑,
90+6', Brian Macapa 🟨,
90+7', Jeferson 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Paysandu is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Brusque: 10.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
29.08.26	Paysandu - Maringá	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ituano - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Ferroviária - Paysandu	4:0 ✺
10.08.26	Paysandu - Confiança	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Amazonas - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
29.08.26	Guarani - Brusque	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Brusque - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Brusque - Internacional de Limeira	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Maranhão - Brusque	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Brusque - Ituano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Paysandu - Brusque	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
11.11.24	Paysandu - Brusque	1:0
24.07.24	Brusque - Paysandu	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
01.07.23	Paysandu - Brusque	0:2

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