Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 20

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Referee: Ribeiro Serafim D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Paysandu		Santos

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.4	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.3
	3.1	3	2.4
	3.3	3.05	2.46
	3.25	2.95	2.39	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.41	2.89	2.33	Watch
	3.1	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.85)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.37 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
29.1%

Draw
31.5%

Santos
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.5%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The chances for Santos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	63.6%	27.3%

Paysandu - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 2. Edilson 3. Quintana Y. 27. Lucas Maia 36. Kevyn 8. Joao Vieira 38. Matheus Trindade 24. Borasi B. 10. Cazares 9. Paulinho Boia 11. Nicolas (C)	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 15. Joao Basso 32. Jair 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca (C) 37. Serginho 22. Otero R. 9. Furch J. 11. Guilherme
Substitutes
15. Garcia E. 22. Jean Dias 6. Keffel 28. Leandro Vilela 34. Leo Pereira 35. Luan Freitas 13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 5. Netinho 20. Robinho 26. Ruan Ribeiro 30. Val Soares 4. Wanderson	2. Alex Nascimento 25. Alison Lopes 12. Diogenes (G) 3. Hayner 34. Joao Pedro Chermont 88. Patrick 7. Pedrinho 8. Rincon T. 23. Sandry 33. Souza 42. Weslley Patati 27. Willian Bigode
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Paulinho Boia ↓, Jean Dias ↑,
14', Jean Dias ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
20', Rodrigo Ferreira 🟨,
26', Helio dos Anjos 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, Rodrigo Ferreira (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rodrigo Ferreira ↓, Hayner ↑,
46', Kevyn ↓, Keffel ↑,
51', Borasi B. 🟨,
63', Guilherme 🟨,
69', Joao Basso ↓, Alex Nascimento ↑,
71', Matheus Trindade ↓, Netinho ↑,
71', Cazares ↓, Robinho ↑,
77', Netinho 🟥,
81', Otero R. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
81', Serginho ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
82', Willian Bigode 🟨,
82', Otero R. 🟨,
88', Furch J. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Weslley Patati ⚽, Guilherme (A),
90+2', Weslley Patati 🟨,
90+9', 0 - 3, Guilherme ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Paysandu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Paysandu: Michel Macedo (Injury) Quintana Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Injury) Giuliano (Injury) Kevyson (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury)

There are questionable in Paysandu: Nicolas (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
05.08.24	Vila Nova - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
29.07.24	Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:3 ✺
24.07.24	Brusque - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Paysandu - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
12.07.24	Paysandu - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWW
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
02.08.24	Santos - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	CRB Maceio - Santos	1:1 ✺
22.07.24	Santos - Coritiba	4:0 ✺
18.07.24	Vila Nova - Santos	1:1 ✺
15.07.24	Santos - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.04.24	Santos - Paysandu	2:0
Copa do Brasil
10.05.17	Paysandu - Santos	1:3
26.04.17	Santos - Paysandu	2:0

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