Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 17

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday


	Paysandu		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.95	3.9
	1.9	2.9	4.15
	1.92	2.99	4.82
	1.88	2.88	4
	1.84	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.94	3.05	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.24)	3 ↑ (2.8)	4.18 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paysandu
47.9%

Draw
30.3%

Náutico Capibaribe
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

32.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

31.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paysandu's performance.

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Paysandu - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 5. Anilson 12. Geovane 16. Joao Vieira 36. Kevyn Lucas 9. Mario Sergio 30. Nicolas Careca 25. Paulao (C) 20. Robinho 10. Vinicius Leite 4. Wanderson	1. Vagner (G) 22. Berguinho 14. Denilson 30. Diego Ferreira 23. Elton 5. Jean Mangabeira 11. Paul Villero 13. Rennan Siqueira 99. Ribamar 21. Richardson 4. Victor Ferraz
Substitutes
21. Arthur Santos 8. Dalberto 2. Edilson 38. Gustavo Custodio 32. Igor Fernandes 14. Juninho 15. Mendes R. 17. Paranhos 26. Rodolfo Filemon 37. Roger 1. Thiago Coelho (G) 3. Wellington Carvalho	12. Bruno Lopes (G) 31. Bryan 6. Diego Matos 20. Eduardo 7. Gabriel Santiago 3. Joecio 18. Lima 8. Souza 27. Thiaguinho

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 2.

Paysandu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Náutico is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paysandu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
06.08.23	Altos - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	América RN - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Paysandu - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
17.07.23	Paysandu - Remo	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Amazonas - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TTWWW
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
06.08.23	Náutico Capibaribe - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Operário Ferroviario - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Remo	0:0 ✺
15.07.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
10.07.23	Ypiranga - Náutico Capibaribe	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
08.09.19	Náutico Capibaribe - Paysandu	3:2 penalties
01.09.19	Paysandu - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Paysandu	1:3
18.07.17	Paysandu - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0
17.09.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Paysandu	3:1
07.06.16	Paysandu - Náutico Capibaribe	1:3
19.09.15	Paysandu - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1

Upcoming Matches