Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Peñarol de Montevideo		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	8	Watch
	1.32	4.8	8
	1.3	4.75	9	Watch
	1.29	5.48	11.15
	1.07	9.83	30.00	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9.5
	1.29	5.95	7.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 (1.27)	5.9 ↑ (5.75)	11.94 ↑ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
75.6%

Draw
16.3%

River Plate Montevideo
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.8%

16.3%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Peñarol de Montevideo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cortes B. (G) 20. Milans P. 23. Mendez J. 34. Herrera N. 15. Olivera M. (C) 24. Jesus Trindade 29. Remedi E. 7. Cabrera J. 80. David Terans 5. Sosa I. 11. Silvera M.	25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 4. Pertusatti Gonzalez L. O. 23. Crespo E. 13. Almeida C. (C) 6. Cabrera R. 5. Rodriguez J. 7. Quintana J. 16. Sencion Rodriguez C. E. 22. Alfonso M. 17. Escobar M. 9. Correa T.
Substitutes
40. Alvarez B. 19. Arezo M. 25. Campana M. (G) 50. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 17. Gularte E. 27. Lucas Hernandez 21. Silva G. 22. Suarez D. 32. Umpierrez L. 8. Villalba H.	21. Cabrera F. 29. Camejo L. 1. Frascarelli D. (G) 28. Gonzalez L. 15. Jourdan E. 27. Lopez I. 26. Orono G. 2. Perez F. 30. Sanchez D. 11. Schiappacasse N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, David Terans (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Schiappacasse N. ↑,
46', Cabrera R. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
46', Milans P. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
56', David Terans ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
57', Remedi E. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
57', Escobar M. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Silvera M. ⚽,
69', Alfonso M. 🟨,
69', Alfonso M. ↓, Jourdan E. ↑,
71', Cabrera J. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
79', Correa T. ↓, Orono G. ↑,
82', Herrera N. ↓, Gularte E. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.

Recent performances by Peñarol have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peñarol is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:12. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
19.08.25	Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.08.25	Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.08.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	3:0 ✺
01.08.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.08.25	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
15.06.25	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3
23.02.25	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1
03.11.24	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1
14.07.24	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3
29.04.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:0
22.10.23	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:3
18.06.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:3

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