Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Perugia		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.8
	1.9	3.4	4	Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.85
	1.93	3.61	4.23
	2.05	3.25	3.6
	1.91	3.58	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.04)	3.48 ↑ (3.29)	3.93 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
49%

Draw
27%

Crotone
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

21.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Perugia - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).

Perugia has the most likely position - 15 (9.86%), has project points - 48, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crotone has the most likely position - 17 (14.25%), has project points - 41, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Perugia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Perugia have a series of guest games.

Perugia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Perugia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Club Friendly
13.11.21	Empoli - Perugia	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
06.11.21	Como - Perugia	4:1 ✺
01.11.21	SPAL - Perugia	1:2 ✺
28.10.21	Perugia - Reggina	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Lecce - Perugia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLWLT
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
07.11.21	Crotone - Monza	1:1 ✺
01.11.21	Frosinone - Crotone	2:1 ✺
28.10.21	Crotone - Benevento	0:2 ✺
22.10.21	Alessandria - Crotone	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Crotone - Pisa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.06.20	Perugia - Crotone	0:0
02.11.19	Crotone - Perugia	2:3
02.04.19	Crotone - Perugia	2:0
09.11.18	Perugia - Crotone	2:1
30.01.16	Crotone - Perugia	1:2
19.09.15	Perugia - Crotone	0:0
29.03.15	Perugia - Crotone	0:0

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