Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Weston Homes Stadium (Peterborough) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Bulgaria	16:00	Nova Sport
Czech Republic	15:00	Voyo
Denmark	15:00	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport
Norway	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport


	Peterborough United		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.33	1.91	Watch
	3.4	4	1.93
	3.5	4.2	1.95	Watch
	3.58	4.24	1.95
	3.66	4.27	1.85
	3.3	3.9	1.8
	3.37	4.29	1.89	Watch
	3.35	4.1	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (6.61)	4.17 ↓ (4.68)	1.9 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
27.5%

Draw
22.7%

Leeds United
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.2%

20.1%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

19.7%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leeds United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	5.6%	72.2%

Peterborough United - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Leeds will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Talley F. (G) 2. Katongo J. 5. Knight J. 4. Edwards R. 3. Burrows H. (C) 27. Collins A. 22. Kyprianou H. 11. Poku K. 14. Randall J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 17. Jones R.J.	13. Klaesson K. (G) 17. Shackleton J. 14. Rodon J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 3. Firpo J. 44. Gruev I. 22. Gray A. 29. Gnonto W. 7. Piroe J. 12. Anthony J. 9. Bamford P.
Substitutes
16. Ajiboye D. 6. Crichlow-Noble R. 8. De Havilland R. 20. Fernandez E. 7. Fuchs J. 37. Mills H. 18. Mothersille M. 21. Steer J. (G) 28. Wakeling J.	2. Ayling L. 6. Cooper L. 20. James D. 49. Joseph M. 8. Kamara G. 27. Poveda I. 24. Rutter G. 10. Summerville C. 40. van den Heuvel D. (G)
Coaches
Ferguson D.	Farke D.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Peterborough is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leeds is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League One
01.01.24	Derby County - Peterborough United	2:3 ✺
29.12.23	Peterborough United - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
26.12.23	Peterborough United - Reading	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Shrewsbury Town - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Fleetwood Town - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTWW
- Leeds United
English League Championship
01.01.24	Leeds United - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
29.12.23	West Bromwich Albion - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Preston North End - Leeds United	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Leeds United - Ipswich Town	4:0 ✺
16.12.23	Leeds United - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.16	Peterborough United - Leeds United	2:1
English League Championship
12.03.13	Leeds United - Peterborough United	1:1
25.08.12	Peterborough United - Leeds United	1:2
14.04.12	Leeds United - Peterborough United	N/A

Upcoming Matches