Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 26

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Stroud K. (Eng)


	Leeds United		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	1.29	6	9.5
	1.28	6	9.75
	1.26	6.33	9.65	Watch
	1.29	6.23	10.85
	1.27	6.23	10.85
	1.25	5.5	10
	1.31	6.11	9.67	Watch
	1.28	6	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.26)	6.05 ↓ (6.09)	10.01 ↓ (10.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
74.7%

Draw
15.8%

Birmingham City
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.5%

15.6%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8.6%	11.4%

Leeds United - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Klaesson K. (G) 22. Gray A. 14. Rodon J. 6. Cooper L. 25. Byram S. 20. James D. 8. Kamara G. 24. Rutter G. 4. Ampadu E. 10. Summerville C. 9. Bamford P.	21. Ruddy J. (G) 3. Buchanan L. 44. Aiwu E. 5. Sanderson D. (C) 23. Emmanuel M. L. 45. Burke O. 19. James J. 7. Bacuna J. 34. Sunjic I. 17. Dembele S. 28. Stansfield J.
Substitutes
12. Anthony J. 3. Firpo J. 29. Gnonto W. 44. Gruev I. 49. Joseph M. 7. Piroe J. 27. Poveda I. 39. Spence D. 1. van den Heuvel D. (G)	14. Anderson K. 49. Donovan R. 1. Etheridge N. (G) 20. Gardner G. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 26. Long K. 11. Miyoshi K. 24. Oakley M. 8. Roberts T.
Coaches
Farke D.	Rooney W.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 2.

Leeds is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Birmingham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leeds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leeds is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leeds won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
29.12.23	West Bromwich Albion - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Preston North End - Leeds United	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Leeds United - Ipswich Town	4:0 ✺
16.12.23	Leeds United - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
12.12.23	Sunderland - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWTL
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
29.12.23	Birmingham City - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Birmingham City - Stoke City	1:3 ✺
23.12.23	Plymouth Argyle - Birmingham City	3:3 ✺
18.12.23	Birmingham City - Leicester City	2:3 ✺
13.12.23	Cardiff City - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
12.08.23	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:0
29.12.19	Birmingham City - Leeds United	4:5
19.10.19	Leeds United - Birmingham City	1:0
06.04.19	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:0
22.09.18	Leeds United - Birmingham City	1:2
30.12.17	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:0
12.09.17	Leeds United - Birmingham City	2:0

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