The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 54.7%
Draw 23.4%
Oxford United 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
26.5%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
26.3%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.2%
3.7%
11.1%
Peterborough United - Oxford United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Peterborough United will win
(23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Steer J. (G) 2. Katongo J. 5. Knight J. 4. Edwards R. 3. Burrows H. (C) 22. Kyprianou H. 27. Collins A. 11. Poku K. 14. Randall J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 17. Jones R.J.
1. Cumming J. (G) 15. Stevens F. 5. Moore E. (C) 3. Brown C. 12. Bennett J. 8. Brannagan C. 30. Dale O. 20. Rodrigues R. 19. Goodrham T. 23. Murphy J. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
16. Ajiboye D. 1. Bilokapic N. (G) 9. Clarke-Harris J. 8. De Havilland R. 36. Dornelly J. 20. Fernandez E. 18. Mothersille M.
10. Bodin B. 11. Browne M. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 22. Leigh G. 2. Long S. 6. McEachran J. 18. McGuane M.
Coaches
Ferguson D.
Buckingham D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', Harris M. 🟨,
32', Goodrham T. ↓, McGuane M. ↑,
40', Stevens F. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Knight J. ⚽, Burrows H. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Brannagan C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stevens F. ↓, Long S. ↑,
67', Jones R.J. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
70', Brown C. 🟨,
78', Poku K. ↓, Clarke-Harris J. ↑,
78', Katongo J. ↓, Ajiboye D. ↑,
79', Dale O. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
86', Bennett J. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
90', Randall J. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 2.
Recent matches Peterborough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Oxford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Oxford have a series of home games.
Peterborough will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.
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Steer J. (G) 
Kyprianou H. 
Poku K. 
Stevens F. 
Brown C. 
Rodrigues R. 
Goodrham T. 
Bilokapic N. (G) 
Clarke-Harris J. 
Ferguson D. 
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