Match Info

League One - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Weston Homes Stadium (Peterborough)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Peterborough United		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.1
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	2.98	3.55	2.22
	2.94	3.79	2.17	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	2.99	3.73	2.14	Watch
	3	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.85)	3.62 ↑ (3.55)	2.17 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
31.2%

Draw
25.8%

Bolton Wanderers
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

26.2%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

25.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 50%). Bolton (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bass A. (G) 2. Johnston C. (C) 29. O'Connor T. 12. Lees T. 30. Kioso P. 4. Collins A. 8. Khela B. 17. Lisbie K. 28. Garbett M. 24. Morgan J. 27. Leonard H.	27. Miller T. (G) 25. Conway M. 18. Toal E. (C) 6. Johnston G. 14. Osei-Tutu J. 8. Sheehan J. 21. Erhahon E. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 22. Dempsey K. 11. Gale T. 48. Burstow M.
Substitutes
39. Aderoju O. 41. Bilokapic N. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 11. Frith D. 18. Hayes C. 15. Nevett G. 22. O'Brien-Brady D.	13. Broome N. (G) 29. Christie C. 10. Dalby S. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 24. Forss M. 16. Morley A. 4. Simons X.
Coaches
Williams L.	Schumacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Morgan J. ⚽, Leonard H. (A),
44', Sheehan J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
45', Gale T. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Erhahon E. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Garbett M. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
58', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽, Conway M. (A),
66', 3 - 1, Lisbie K. ⚽, Johnston C. (A),
68', Dempsey K. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
71', Khela B. ↓, O'Brien-Brady D. ↑,
81', Kioso P. 🟨,
82', Morgan J. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
83', Lisbie K. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
90+2', Garbett M. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
90+2', Johnston C. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 0.

Peterborough is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Inactive) Mills H. (Inactive) Okagbue D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:13. (average 1.8:2.2).

Outrights of English League One for now

Peterborough: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	Peterborough	8	1	2	5	4:13	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League One
04.01.26	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	5:2 ✺
01.01.26	Rotherham United - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Peterborough United - Reading	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Peterborough United - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Port Vale - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWW
- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
04.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.10.25	Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United	2:1
26.04.25	Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
26.10.24	Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United	1:0
27.04.24	Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers	3:3
23.09.23	Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United	1:1
11.02.23	Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers	0:5
17.09.22	Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United	1:0

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