Match Info

Date: 5 April 2021, Monday


	Peterborough United		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.62
	2.7	3.25	2.55
	2.75	3.25	2.65
	2.65	3.05	2.65
	2.72	3.27	2.78
	2.62	3.1	2.62
	2.82	3.34	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.73)	3.22 ↑ (3.21)	2.65 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
34.9%

Draw
29.4%

Sunderland
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

19.8%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peterborough United - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion to League One (Play Offs)).

Peterborough has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a good chance of promoted (69%), has a chance of win league (26%).

Sunderland has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a good chance of promoted (78%), has a chance of win league (38%).

Peterborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sunderland is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sunderland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League One
02.04.21	Fleetwood Town - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
27.03.21	Peterborough United - Accrington Stanley	7:0 ✺
23.03.21	Blackpool - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
20.03.21	Rochdale - Peterborough United	3:3 ✺
16.03.21	Peterborough United - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTW
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
02.04.21	Sunderland - Oxford United	3:1 ✺
27.03.21	Bristol Rovers - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Sunderland - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
17.03.21	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.03.21	Sunderland - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.09.20	Sunderland - Peterborough United	1:0
31.08.19	Peterborough United - Sunderland	3:0
22.04.19	Peterborough United - Sunderland	1:1
02.10.18	Sunderland - Peterborough United	2:2
English League Cup
24.09.13	Sunderland - Peterborough United	2:0

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