Match Info

Date: 27 March 2021, Saturday


	Bristol Rovers		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.9
	4.25	3.4	1.85
	4.4	3.45	1.88
	4.1	3.3	1.88
	4.41	3.49	1.92
	4.33	3.3	1.83
	4.64	3.38	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (5.01)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	1.88 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
21.8%

Draw
27.9%

Sunderland
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

27.2%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

24.6%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.9%	8.7%	80.4%

Bristol Rovers - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (37 of 46 users predict this - 80.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.96% – 91.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion to League One (Play Offs)).

Bristol Rovers has a good chance of relegated (81%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Sunderland has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (74%), has a chance of win league (27%).

Bristol Rovers is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bristol Rovers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
23.03.21	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
16.03.21	Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers	3:2 ✺
13.03.21	Bristol Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
09.03.21	Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTW
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
20.03.21	Sunderland - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
17.03.21	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.03.21	Sunderland - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
English League One
09.03.21	Portsmouth - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
06.03.21	Sunderland - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.09.20	Sunderland - Bristol Rovers	1:1
10.03.20	Bristol Rovers - Sunderland	2:0
22.02.20	Sunderland - Bristol Rovers	3:0
English EFL Trophy
05.03.19	Bristol Rovers - Sunderland	0:2
English League One
23.02.19	Bristol Rovers - Sunderland	0:2
15.12.18	Sunderland - Bristol Rovers	2:1

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