Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Peterhead		Ayr United

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.6
	4.33	3.9	1.6
	4.75	4.2	1.6	Watch
	4.96	3.99	1.6
	4.96	3.99	1.6
	5.15	4.05	1.57
	4.6	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↓ (5.27)	4.02 ↓ (4.2)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterhead
19.4%

Draw
22.9%

Ayr United
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

21.8%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

20.7%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Peterhead - Ayr United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McKenzie S. (G) 4. Goldie C. 15. Ross S. 16. Wilson D. 2. Strachan D. 7. Ritchie H. 17. McKee J. 12. Brown J. 77. O’Keefe C. 9. McAllister R. 10. Shanks K.	1. Albinson C. (G) 2. McAllister N. 4. Musonda F. 5. McGinty S. 3. Reading P. 17. Amartey F. 20. Syla R. 8. Dempsey B. 15. Murphy J. 10. McGeady A. 16. Dowds A.
Substitutes
3. Armstrong J. 18. Brown J. 20. Oluyemi B. (G) 19. Reid A. 11. Ward R. 13. Wood S. (G)	38. Ahui E. 30. Bryden F. 21. Ecrepont F. 22. McKenzie M. 31. Mutch R. (G) 9. Rose A. 18. Smith P. 46. Young J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 2.

Peterhead is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ayr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ayr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ayr is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterhead won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterhead
Scottish League Two
18.11.23	Spartans - Peterhead	1:2 ✺
14.11.23	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Peterhead - Stranraer	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Peterhead - East Fife	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
28.10.23	Peterhead - Clachnacuddin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW
- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
11.11.23	Inverness - Ayr United	3:1 ✺
04.11.23	Ayr United - Queens Park	2:2 ✺
31.10.23	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
07.05.16	Ayr United - Peterhead	2:1
03.05.16	Peterhead - Ayr United	1:4
Scottish League One
23.04.16	Peterhead - Ayr United	0:4
06.02.16	Ayr United - Peterhead	1:2
19.12.15	Peterhead - Ayr United	3:0
26.09.15	Ayr United - Peterhead	1:1
11.04.15	Ayr United - Peterhead	2:4

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