Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Subaru Park (Chester, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, FuboTV, MLS Season Pass, UniMas, Univision
World	Apple TV


	Philadelphia Union		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.8	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.25	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.28	3.89	2.16
	3.22	3.85	2.08	Watch
	3.2	3.7	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.3)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	2.07 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

Watch this match and CONCACAF League Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 1

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union
29.3%

Draw
25.4%

Cruz Azul
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Union's form might have worsened.

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cruz Azul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruz Azul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Philadelphia Union - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Blake A. (G) 15. Mbaizo O. 17. Lowe D. 3. Elliott J. 27. Wagner K. 8. Martinez J. 33. Sullivan Q. 11. Bedoya A. 10. Gazdag D. 28. Baribo T. 7. Uhre M.	23. Mier K. (G) 2. Sanchez J. 4. Ditta W. 27. Romo L. 33. Piovi G. 29. Rotondi C. 8. Faravelli L. 6. Lira E. 14. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 15. Rivero I. 11. Giakoumakis G.
Substitutes
9. Adeniran S. 20. Bueno J. 25. Donovan C. 31. Flach L. 5. Glesnes J. 29. Makhanya O. 56. Olney Jr C. 14. Rafanello J. 1. Semmle O. (G) 6. Sullivan C. 13. Trent H. (G) 39. Westfield F.	7. Antuna U. 13. Candido C. 210. Gamboa B. 17. Garcia A. 200. Garcia J. 1. Gudino A. (G) 12. Jimenez L. (G) 10. Montano A. 19. Rodriguez C. 22. Rubio R. 9. Sepulveda A. 196. Suarez J.
Coaches
Curtin J.	Anselmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Bedoya A. 🟨,
37', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Rotondi C. ⚽, Gutierrez Torres A. H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Romo L. 🟨,
55', Lowe D. 🟨,
59', Gazdag D. 🟨,
59', Rotondi C. 🟨,
64', Uhre M. ↓, Adeniran S. ↑,
64', Bedoya A. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
73', Faravelli L. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
73', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
80', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
82', Mbaizo O. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Gazdag D. ⚽,
90+1', Sullivan Q. ↓, Glesnes J. ↑,
90+2', Antuna U. 🟨,
90+7', Lira E. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
90+7', Sanchez J. ↓, Candido C. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Piovi G. (Pen),
1, Gazdag D. (Pen),
2, Montano A. (Pen),
2, Elliott J. (Pen),
3, Ditta W. (Pen),
3, Martinez J. (Pen),
4, Rotondi C. (Pen),
4, Adeniran S. (Pen),
5, Sepulveda A. (Pen),

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Philadelphia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Philadelphia have a series of home games.

Cruz Azul will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Philadelphia: LeFlore I. (Injury)

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Fernandez G. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union
CONCACAF League Cup
27.07.24	Philadelphia Union - Charlotte	1:0 ✺
MLS
20.07.24	Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC	3:0 ✺
17.07.24	Philadelphia Union - New England Revolution	5:1 ✺
13.07.24	Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLT
- Cruz Azul FC
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.24	Charlotte - Cruz Azul	1:0 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
20.07.24	Cruz Azul - Toluca	1:1 ✺
16.07.24	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	0:4 ✺
06.07.24	Cruz Azul - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWW

Upcoming Matches