Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie C - Semi-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
World	Onefootball


	Potenza		Ternana

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.96	3.11	2.42
	3.32	2.54	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3	2.25
	2.81	3.38	2.39	Watch
	2.83	3	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.68)	3.01 ↓ (3.23)	2.39 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
31.2%

Draw
30.5%

Ternana
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Potenza - Ternana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 98. Adjapong C. 14. Riggio C. 6. Loiacono G. 3. Rocchetti Y. 77. Ghisolfi M. 5. Lucas Martello 23. De Marco A. 21. Schimmenti E. 9. Murano J. 10. D'Auria G.	71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 13. Maestrelli A. 19. Capuano M. (C) 23. Majer Z. 8. McJannet E. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 16. Garetto M. 32. Pettinari S. 10. Leonardi S.
Substitutes
7. Anatriello G. 24. Bachini M. 19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 15. Camigliano A. 8. Castorani M. 27. Erradi B. 22. Franchi D. (G) 83. Gabriele G. 28. Maisto F. 20. Ragone G. 40. Rocco 70. Selleri G.	38. Bruti T. 9. Dubickas E. 17. Kerrigan L. 87. Martella B. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 3. Pagliari M. 18. Panico G. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Murano J. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, McJannet E. ⚽,
61', McJannet E. ↓, Proietti M. ↑,
61', Leonardi S. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
61', Pettinari S. ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
70', Lucas Martello ↓, Castorani M. ↑,
79', Majer Z. ↓, Kerrigan L. ↑,
87', Loiacono G. 🟨,
89', Ghisolfi M. ↓, Balzano M. ↑,
89', De Marco A. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
90+2', Panico G. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Maestrelli A. ↓, Meccariello B. ↑,
102', Adjapong C. 🟨,
103', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
106', Schimmenti E. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
117', Garetto M. ↓, Tripi F. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, D'Auria G. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Meccariello B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Selleri G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Dubickas E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, De Marco A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Capuano M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Maisto F. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Panico G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Castorani M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.26	Crotone - Potenza	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Potenza - Casertana	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
09.01.26	Audace Cerignola - Potenza	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Potenza - Giugliano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Carpi - Ternana	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
09.01.26	Ascoli - Ternana	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Ternana - Livorno	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Pianese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1
Italian Serie C Group C
24.03.21	Potenza - Ternana	0:2
17.10.20	Ternana - Potenza	3:0
12.01.20	Potenza - Ternana	0:1
01.09.19	Ternana - Potenza	1:0

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