Match Info

Serie A - Round 19

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:30	Disney+
China	01:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	18:30	Sport 2
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	18:30	DAZN France
Georgia	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	18:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	19:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Arena 4
Indonesia	00:30	Vidio
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 4
Kuwait	20:30	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	01:30	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	11:30	Disney+
Moldova	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
Norway	18:30	VG+
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV4
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:30	STC TV
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	02:30	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Tunisia	18:30	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:30	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:30	TV 360, VTVcab


	Bologna		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.55
	3.05	3.25	2.38	Watch
	3.13	3.3	2.36	Watch
	2.9	3	2.45
	3.18	3.34	2.49
	3.1	3.33	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.69)	3.29 ↓ (3.55)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
31.6%

Draw
29%

Atalanta
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.7%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	40.7%	33.3%

Bologna - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Atalanta will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Atalanta (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bologna (2.19) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Atalanta (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 3 - 20%). Atalanta (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 41. Vitik M. 14. Heggem T. 33. Miranda J. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 8. Freuler R. 7. Orsolini R. 80. Fabbian G. 28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 69. Ahanor H. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 59. Zalewski N. 90. Krstovic N.
Substitutes
16. Casale N. 9. Castro S. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 2. Holm E. 17. Immobile C. 26. Lucumi J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 11. Rowe J. 77. Sulemana I.	44. Brescianini M. 4. Hien I. 70. Maldini D. 6. Musah Y. 8. Pasalic M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Krstovic N. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Orsolini R. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
60', Dallinga T. ↓, Immobile C. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Krstovic N. ⚽, De Roon M. (A),
68', Scalvini G. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
68', Zalewski N. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
72', Fabbian G. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
72', Freuler R. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
77', Ederson ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
77', Krstovic N. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
80', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
84', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
88', Palladino R. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 3.

Bologna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atalanta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atalanta has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Kossounou O. (International duty) Lookman A. (International duty)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	12:12	0	11
12	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	16:17	-1	11

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.15% Bologna: 0.08%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
04.01.26	Inter Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
22.12.25	Napoli - Bologna	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Bologna - Inter Milan	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Bologna - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLWL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
03.01.26	Atalanta - Roma	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Genoa - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atalanta - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Atalanta - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.04.25	Atalanta - Bologna	2:0
Coppa Italia
04.02.25	Atalanta - Bologna	0:1
Italian Serie A
28.09.24	Bologna - Atalanta	1:1
03.03.24	Atalanta - Bologna	1:2
23.12.23	Bologna - Atalanta	1:0
08.04.23	Atalanta - Bologna	0:2
09.01.23	Bologna - Atalanta	1:2

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