Match Info

Serie A - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 1
Haiti	14:45	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Indonesia	02:45	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 1
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV6
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	ON Football, TV 360, VTVcab


	Atalanta		Roma

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.3
	2.42	2.98	3.35	Watch
	2.34	3.15	3.48	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25
	2.43	3.13	3.51
	2.36	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.16)	3.08 ↓ (3.49)	3.4 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
41%

Draw
31%

Roma
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

27.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.5%	37.3%	32.2%

Atalanta - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 16 - 28.1%). Roma will win (votes: 19 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 38.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26% – 51.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 6 - 40%). Roma (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 59. Zalewski N. 9. Scamacca G.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 24. Ziolkowski J. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 2. Rensch D. 18. Soule M. 21. Dybala P. 11. Ferguson E.
Substitutes
69. Ahanor H. 44. Brescianini M. 4. Hien I. 90. Krstovic N. 70. Maldini D. 6. Musah Y. 8. Pasalic M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.	3. Angelino 9. Dovbyk A. 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 77. Lulli E. 76. Mirra J. 61. Pisilli N. 60. Romano A. 12. Tsimikas K. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 43. Wesley Franca
Coaches
Palladino R.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Scalvini G. ⚽,
19', De Roon M. 🟨,
26', Kolasinac S. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
31', Palladino R. 🟨,
43', Mancini G. 🟨,
45+3', Hermoso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ziolkowski J. ↓, Wesley Franca ↑,
59', Scalvini G. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
60', Zalewski N. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
60', Ferguson E. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
60', Rensch D. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
66', Soule M. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
72', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
72', Ederson ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
83', Kone M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atalanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Kossounou O. (International duty) Lookman A. (International duty)

There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Baldanzi T. (Illness) Bove E. (Heart Problems) El Aynaoui N. (International duty) Ndicka E. (International duty) Pellegrini Lo. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:25. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 2.2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23:8	15	21
12	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	14:15	-1	10

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.31% Atalanta: 0.5%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
28.12.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Genoa - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atalanta - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Atalanta - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Verona - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
29.12.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Juventus - Roma	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Roma - Como	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celtic - Roma	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Cagliari - Roma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.05.25	Atalanta - Roma	2:1
02.12.24	Roma - Atalanta	0:2
12.05.24	Atalanta - Roma	2:1
07.01.24	Roma - Atalanta	1:1
24.04.23	Atalanta - Roma	3:1
18.09.22	Roma - Atalanta	0:1
05.03.22	Roma - Atalanta	1:0

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