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Current Win Probability
Portland Hearts of Pine 25.9%
Draw 24.7%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
22.9%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
22.6%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Portland Hearts of Pine - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Oladapo K. (G) 50. Mohamed M. 19. Wright S. 7. Vinberg S. 3. Messer N. 17. Reilly M. 6. Langlois P. (C) 8. Poon-Angeron M. 22. Varela W. 47. James N. 11. Southern E.
31. Randolph J. (G) 6. Broughton M. 5. Suber S. 13. Biasi L. 20. Bouregy J. 2. Griffin D. (C) 15. Sample B. 8. Etou B. 18. Garcia J. 12. Ahl C. 10. Jacquesson B.
Substitutes
66. Green K. 80. Kamara J. 1. Morse H. (G) 21. Quinones C. 77. Wada M. 14. Washington T. 10. Wright O.
3. Barnes P. 17. Larsen B. 70. Linzoain P. 67. Martino B. (G) 23. Vacter G. 42. Walti J. 9. Williams A. 16. Ydrach R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Oladapo K. 🟥,
31', Reilly M. ↓, Morse H. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Sample B. ↓, Walti J. ↑,
46', Biasi L. ↓, Vacter G. ↑,
51', Wright S. 🟨,
55', Jacquesson B. 🟨,
61', James N. ↓, Washington T. ↑,
61', Varela W. ↓, Wright O. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Washington T. ⚽,
65', Southern E. 🟨,
67', Southern E. ↓, Kamara J. ↑,
67', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Wada M. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Jacquesson B. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Wright O. ⚽, Washington T. (A),
75', 2 - 2, Jacquesson B. (Pen),
82', Bouregy J. ↓, Linzoain P. ↑,
87', Wright O. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Broughton M. (Pen),
1, Wright O. (Pen),
2, Garcia J. (Pen),
2, Kamara J. (Pen),
3, Ahl C. (Pen),
3, Wada M. (Pen),
4, Griffin D. (Pen),
4, Washington T. (Pen),
5, Suber S. (Pen),
5, Langlois P. (Pen),
Preview
In recent matches, Hearts of Pine has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pittsburgh is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
Pittsburgh could have a small edge in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.