Match Info

Championship - Round 41

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ipswich Town		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	6	Watch
	1.58	4.2	5.25
	1.61	4.11	5.36	Watch
	1.63	4.15	5.51
	1.62	4.08	5.29	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5
	1.61	3.94	5.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.8)	4.03 ↑ (3.65)	5.37 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
59%

Draw
23.4%

Birmingham City
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.1%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.4%	0%	3.6%

Ipswich Town - Birmingham City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Ipswich (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Birmingham (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.56% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ipswich Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Birmingham (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 24. Greaves J. 18. Johnson B. 5. Matusiwa A. 6. Neil D. 20. McAteer K. 32. Nunez M. 47. Clarke J. 9. Hirst G.	25. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 37. Panzo J. 14. Solis Romero J. E. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 23. Vicente C. 28. Stansfield J. 10. Gray D. 29. Priske A.
Substitutes
29. Akpom Ch. 25. Baggott E. 12. Cajuste J. 8. Egeli S. W. 4. Kipre C. 33. Mehmeti A. 1. Palmer A. (G) 11. Philogene J. 14. Taylor J.	21. Allsop R. (G) 7. Doyle T. 33. Ducksch M. 27. Fujimoto K. 24. Iwata T. 2. Laird E. 17. Osman I. 16. Roberts P. 6. Robinson J.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Vicente C. ⚽,
38', Gray D. 🟨,
39', Matusiwa A. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Johnson B. ⚽, Furlong D. (A),
45', 2 - 1, McAteer K. ⚽, Hirst G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Iwata T. ↑,
56', Panzo J. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
56', Gray D. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
75', Clarke J. ↓, Philogene J. ↑,
75', Hirst G. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
75', Nunez M. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
76', Taylor J. 🟨,
81', Vicente C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
81', Stansfield J. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
86', McAteer K. ↓, Kipre C. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1.

Ipswich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Birmingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ipswich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ipswich is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Calf Injury) Button D. (Calf Injury) Davis L. (Suspended) Townsend C. (Knee Injury) Young A. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Cochrane A. (Ankle Injury) Wagner K. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Nunez M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 5.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13:11	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
21.03.26	Ipswich Town - Millwall	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Stoke City - Ipswich Town	3:3 ✺
07.03.26	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Ipswich Town - Hull City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTTW
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
03.04.26	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Derby County - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Birmingham City - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.08.25	Birmingham City - Ipswich Town	1:1
24.02.24	Ipswich Town - Birmingham City	3:1
04.11.23	Birmingham City - Ipswich Town	2:2
13.04.19	Ipswich Town - Birmingham City	1:1
29.09.18	Birmingham City - Ipswich Town	2:2
31.03.18	Birmingham City - Ipswich Town	1:0
05.08.17	Ipswich Town - Birmingham City	1:0

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