Match Info

Championship - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Middlesbrough		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.4	5	7
	1.32	5.4	9.25	Watch
	1.34	5.66	8.61
	1.44	4.81	6.82	Watch
	1.4	4.6	7
	1.38	5.8	7.6	Watch
	1.32	5.4	9.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	5.27 ↑ (4.81)	7.88 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
69.8%

Draw
18.1%

Plymouth Argyle
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.1%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Middlesbrough (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Travers M. (G) 15. Dijksteel A. 16. Howson J. (C) 3. van den Berg R. 29. Iling Junior S. 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. 11. Whittaker M. 21. Forss M. 20. Azaz F. 22. Conway T.	21. Hazard C. (G) 6. Szucs K. 44. Palsson V. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 2. Mumba B. 20. Randell A. 8. Edwards J. (C) 4. Houghton J. 9. Hardie R. 15. Bundu M. 18. Gyabi D.
Substitutes
4. Barlaser D. 10. Burgzorg D. 25. Edmundson G. 6. Fry D. 28. Giles R. 23. Glover T. (G) 9. Iheanacho K. 51. Palmer A. 47. Palmer B.	30. Baidoo M. 19. Boateng M. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 35. Issaka F. 14. Obafemi M. 3. Ogbeta N. 17. Puchacz T. 26. Tijani M. 11. Wright C.
Coaches
Carrick M.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Bundu M. ⚽,
45+2', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Hazard C. 🟨,
62', Dijksteel A. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
72', Gyabi D. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
73', Forss M. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
78', Bundu M. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
88', Pleguezuelo J. ↓, Puchacz T. ↑,
89', Hardie R. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
89', Houghton J. ↓, Boateng M. ↑,
89', Whittaker M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
89', Iling Junior S. ↓, Giles R. ↑,
90+2', Edwards J. 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 1, Conway T. (Pen),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Middlesbrough is certain favorite.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Neto Borges (Injury)

There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Talovierov M. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
12.04.25	Millwall - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
08.04.25	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Middlesbrough - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Luton Town - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWT
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
12.04.25	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Plymouth Argyle - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Watford - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Plymouth Argyle - Derby County	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.12.24	Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough	3:3
24.02.24	Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle	0:2
04.11.23	Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough	3:3
Club Friendly
25.08.20	Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough	0:1

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