Match Info

Championship - Round 46

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Hungary	Net4+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV6
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Plymouth Argyle		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	9.5	6.5	1.25	Watch
	10.5	6	1.27
	11.76	5.92	1.25	Watch
	10.67	6.1	1.27
	10.75	6.01	1.27	Watch
	11	5.5	1.25
	11	6.3	1.25	Watch
	11.76	5.92	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.87 ↑ (9.17)	6.03 ↑ (5.39)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
8.7%

Draw
15.7%

Leeds United
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

17.5%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.9%

16.7%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Plymouth (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Leeds (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hazard C. (G) 6. Szucs K. 40. Talovierov M. 44. Palsson V. 8. Edwards J. (C) 20. Randell A. 34. Roberts C. 2. Mumba B. 9. Hardie R. 15. Bundu M. 26. Tijani M.	26. Darlow K. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 25. Byram S. 22. Tanaka A. 44. Gruev I. 29. Gnonto W. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.
Substitutes
30. Baidoo M. 19. Boateng M. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 4. Houghton J. 35. Issaka F. 25. Katic N. 3. Ogbeta N. 29. Sorinola M. 11. Wright C.	9. Bamford P. 45. Gray H. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 1. Meslier I. (G) 17. Ramazani L. 8. Rothwell J. 33. Schmidt I. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Byram S. (Own goal),
44', Tijani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Gnonto W. ⚽,
66', Roberts C. ↓, Boateng M. ↑,
67', Tijani M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
69', Byram S. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
78', Szucs K. ↓, Katic N. ↑,
79', Tanaka A. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
79', Edwards J. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
79', Aaronson B. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
81', Bundu M. ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
84', Palsson V. 🟨,
85', Piroe J. 🟨,
90', Bogle J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Solomon M. ⚽,
90+2', Solomon M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Leeds is Qualified for Premier League

In recent matches, Plymouth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leeds is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Leeds is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Sorinola M. (Injury)

There will not play in Leeds: Struijk P. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Katic N. (Injury) Obafemi M. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: James D. (Muscle Injury) Rothwell J. (Calf Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
26.04.25	Preston North End - Plymouth Argyle	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWLWL
- Leeds United
English League Championship
28.04.25	Leeds United - Bristol City	4:0 ✺
21.04.25	Leeds United - Stoke City	6:0 ✺
18.04.25	Oxford United - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Leeds United - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.11.24	Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle	3:0
17.02.24	Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United	0:2
English FA Cup
06.02.24	Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United	1:4 ET
27.01.24	Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
English League Championship
11.11.23	Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle	2:1

Upcoming Matches