Match Info

Championship - Round 45

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SupeSport ESPN 1
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Netherlands	Viaplay
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Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Leeds United		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7.5	Watch
	1.47	4.6	6.25
	1.39	4.69	8.35
	1.4	4.93	8.25
	1.4	4.9	7.69	Watch
	1.44	4.2	7
	1.4	4.95	7.4	Watch
	1.39	4.69	8.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	4.75 ↑ (4.67)	7.6 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
67.5%

Draw
20%

Bristol City
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.2%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	7.5%	7.5%

Leeds United - Bristol City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Bristol City (2.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Leeds (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leeds United will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Bristol City (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 4. Ampadu E. 3. Firpo J. 29. Gnonto W. 22. Tanaka A. 11. Aaronson B. 44. Gruev I. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.	1. O'Leary M. (G) 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 24. Roberts H. 19. Tanner G. 29. McGuane M. 12. Knight J. 2. McCrorie R. 6. Bird M. 21. Wells N. 40. Earthy G.
Substitutes
9. Bamford P. 25. Byram S. 21. Cairns A. (G) 45. Gray H. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 1. Meslier I. (G) 17. Ramazani L. 39. Wober M.	30. Armstrong S. 23. Bajic S. (G) 20. Bell S. 7. Hirakawa Y. 11. Mehmeti A. 31. Morrison E. 10. Twine S. 8. Williams J.
Coaches
Farke D.	Manning L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Tanaka A. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Tanaka A. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Gnonto W. ⚽, Piroe J. (A),
58', Bird M. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
59', Wells N. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
74', Earthy G. ↓, Twine S. ↑,
74', McCrorie R. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
81', Gnonto W. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
81', Piroe J. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Ramazani L. ⚽, Firpo J. (A),
86', Aaronson B. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
86', Tanaka A. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
89', Firpo J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 0, Ramazani L. ⚽, Gruev I. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Leeds is Qualified for Premier League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 4.

Leeds in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bristol City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Chambers S. (Inactive) Rothwell J. (Calf Injury) Struijk P. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Benarous A. (Hamstring Injury) Cornick H. (Hamstring Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Sykes M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: James D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bristol City: Campbell-Slowey J. (Calf Injury) Pring C. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Leeds to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Leeds won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27:10 (average 1.7:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
21.04.25	Leeds United - Stoke City	6:0 ✺
18.04.25	Oxford United - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Leeds United - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Luton Town - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT
- Bristol City
English League Championship
21.04.25	Luton Town - Bristol City	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Bristol City - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Bristol City - Watford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.10.24	Bristol City - Leeds United	0:0
02.02.24	Bristol City - Leeds United	0:1
07.10.23	Leeds United - Bristol City	2:1
15.02.20	Leeds United - Bristol City	1:0
04.08.19	Bristol City - Leeds United	1:3
09.03.19	Bristol City - Leeds United	0:1
24.11.18	Leeds United - Bristol City	2:0

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