Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.87
	2.15	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.17	3.62	2.99
	2.18	3.56	3.07	Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.88
	2.09	3.54	2.98	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.9)	3.5 ↓ (3.59)	2.94 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
42.9%

Draw
26.1%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

25.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

23.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chojniczanka Chojnice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Users Predictions: Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.	29. Primel D. (G) 6. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 2. Bakowicz M. 9. Biskup M. 8. Boczek T. (C) 5. Czajka B. 91. Korczyc K. 66. Olejnik P. 58. Pikul B. 11. Stefaniak M. 7. Szczepanek B.
Substitutes
. Bahonko E. 26. Cierpial J. 24. Dziegielewski D. . Gulczynski G. 12. Kalinowski D. (G) 4. Korczakowski I. 17. Niewiadomski J. 6. Skowronski G. . Urbanski P.	1. Antkowiak M. (G) 22. Branecki J. 21. Golinski J. 10. Kaminski D. 34. Nowacki D. 24. Romanik J. 20. Sabala V. . Sajdak P. . Tkocz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Czajka B. ⚽,
31', Primel D. 🟨,
36', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Araujo Guilherme J. L. ↓, Sabala V. ↑,
46', Pikul B. ↓, Kaminski D. ↑,
46', Lis J. ↓, Bahonko E. ↑,
57', Olejnik P. 🟨,
63', Olejnik P. ↓, Golinski J. ↑,
69', Dias M. 🟨,
70', Odolak K. ↓, Dziegielewski D. ↑,
70', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Urbanski P. ↑,
71', Jaron D. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
72', Szczepanek B. ↓, Sajdak P. ↑,
76', Los K. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Boczek T. (Own goal),
80', Noiszewski K. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
83', Korczyc K. ↓, Romanik J. ↑,
87', Sabala V. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
01.09.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wisła Puławy	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Swit Skolwin	4:1 ✺
02.08.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TWWWW
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
01.09.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Hutnik - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Wisła Puławy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
07.05.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0
30.10.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:3

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