The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Szczecin 30.2%
Draw 28.5%
Raków Częstochowa 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
29%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
28.8%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.9%
27.8%
33.3%
Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 16.4% – 61.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raków Częstochowa will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 22. Loncar D. 2. Huja M. 32. Koutris L. 10. Przyborek A. 6. Bieganski J. 61. Smolinski K. 7. Juwara M. 99. Kostorz K. 11. Grosicki K. (C)
1. Trelowski K. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 24. Arsenic Z. 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. 88. Barath P. 5. Bulat M. 20. Silva J. 28. Diaz J. 10. Lopez I. 17. Rocha L.
Substitutes
29. Bak M. 20. Greenwood S. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 13. Keramitsis D. 17. Lis J. 18. Mukairu P. 19. Ndiaye M. 14. Pozo J. 35. Wojciechowski M.
11. Adriano 18. Brunes J. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 66. Konstantopoulos A. 39. Madrzyk J. (G) 2. Mosor A. 8. Pienko T. 6. Repka O. 97. Seck I. 23. Struski K.
Coaches
Kolendowicz R.
Papszun M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Svarnas S. ↓, Adriano ↑,
32', Loncar D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Diaz J. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
46', Barath P. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Grosicki K. ⚽,
58', Rocha L. ↓, Brunes J. ↑,
63', Lopez I. 🟨,
64', Smolinski K. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
64', Kostorz K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
67', Bieganski J. 🟨,
72', Grosicki K. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
73', Lopez I. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
80', Przyborek A. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
80', Bieganski J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
84', Tudor F. 🟨,
84', Juwara M. 🟨,
86', Adriano 🟨,
90+1', Huja M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Koulouris E.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Bieganski J.
(Injury)
Ulvestad F.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).