Match Info

Division 1 - Round 8

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka (Bytom)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Polonia Bytom		Wieczysta Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.1
	3	3.5	2.1
	2.98	3.5	2.15
	3.07	3.71	2.2
	1.70	3.85	4.49	Watch
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.02	3.52	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.82)	3.55 ↑ (3.45)	2.48 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
34.2%

Draw
27%

Wieczysta Kraków
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

26.8%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wieczysta: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Holewinski A. (G) 30. Krzyzak O. 13. Azatsky O. 77. Szymanski J. 27. Apolinarski J. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. (C) 10. Michalski K. 19. Sarmiento J. 11. Andrzejczak K. 23. Arak J.	1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 44. Szymonowicz D. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 33. Pestka K. 8. Swedrowski T. 3. Goralski J. 30. Donkor J. 7. Gajos M. 77. Semedo L. 21. Rafa Lopes
Substitutes
4. Bakala M. 22. Calavera J. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 35. Mazur K. (G) 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 29. Terlecki K. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.	20. Chuma 18. Feiertag S. 14. Koj M. 29. Lysiak P. 89. Mikolajewski D. 12. Piazon L. 6. Pietrzak R. 11. Sandoval D. 28. Soberka K. (G)
Coaches
Tomczyk L.	Cecherz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Andrzejczak K. ⚽, Arak J. (A),
19', Labojko M. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Michalski K. ⚽, Andrzejczak K. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Rafa Lopes (Pen),
45+2', 3 - 1, Pazdan M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rafa Lopes ↓, Feiertag S. ↑,
46', Gajos M. ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
46', Pazdan M. ↓, Koj M. ↑,
60', Swedrowski T. ↓, Piazon L. ↑,
60', Arak J. ↓, Wojtyra K. ↑,
60', Apolinarski J. ↓, Zielinski L. ↑,
63', 3 - 2, Semedo L. (Pen),
66', Pestka K. 🟨,
66', Michalski K. 🟨,
67', Sarmiento J. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
70', 4 - 2, Wojtyra K. ⚽,
76', Labojko M. ↓, Terlecki K. ↑,
76', Krzyzak O. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
80', Donkor J. ↓, Sandoval D. ↑,
90+1', Piazon L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Polonia Bytom has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wieczysta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wieczysta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wieczysta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Bytom - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.74%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
24.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLW
- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
25.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
19.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Wieczysta Kraków	1:6 ✺
11.08.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
01.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
11.05.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	1:0
23.10.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Bytom	3:1
Club Friendly
27.01.24	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	1:6
23.01.21	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	2:3

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