Match Info

Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Warsaw		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	2.5	3.45	2.65	Watch
	2.67	3.45	2.71
	2.56	3.33	2.67	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.59	3.36	2.59
	2.5	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.62)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
36.6%

Draw
27.6%

Wisła Płock
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.3%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.4%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Płock Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Kuchta M. (C) 24. Terpilowski E. 4. Szur P. 26. Kolodziejski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 55. Poczobut B. 15. Vega D. 16. Koton K. 8. Wojciechowski O. 99. Durmus I. 9. Zjawinski L.	99. Gradecki B. (G) 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 25. Mijuskovic N. 5. Nastic B. 14. Kun D. 8. Pacheco D. 30. Bosnjak D. 6. Pomorski K. 91. Kuchko G. 66. Salvador I. 20. Sekulski L. (C)
Substitutes
10. Bajdur M. 1. Brudnicki M. (G) 30. Cisse S. 21. Kapusta A. 7. Kluska M. 22. Olszewski P. 17. Predenkiewicz M. 90. Spiewak K. 19. Vasin N.	27. Borowski B. 2. Custovic K. 19. Edmundsson A. 16. Hiszpanski F. 18. Jimenez J. 22. Krawczyk P. 41. Lejman J. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 77. Szymanski J.
Coaches
Pawlak M.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Kolodziejski M. 🟨,
3', Salvador I. 🟨,
34', Durmus I. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
35', Szur P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pomorski K. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
64', Kuchko G. ↓, Borowski B. ↑,
65', Salvador I. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
73', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Bajdur M. ↑,
76', Sekulski L. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
85', Pacheco D. ↓, Edmundsson A. ↑,
87', Koton K. ↓, Kluska M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polonia won 2.

Polonia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wisła Płock is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Polonia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1.5:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
14.04.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
09.04.25	Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Odra Opole - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	4:2 ✺
15.03.25	Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWW
- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
13.04.25	Wisła Płock - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
10.04.25	Stal Rzeszów - Wisła Płock	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wisła Płock - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	GKS Tychy - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Płock	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.02.25	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	1:2
Polish Division 1
05.10.24	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	4:1
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	3:1
Polish Division 1
15.03.24	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	2:2
02.09.23	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	3:0
Club Friendly
23.01.13	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	3:1

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