Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ponferradina		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.33
	1.85	3.1	4.35
	1.83	3.35	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.08	4.39
	1.81	3.31	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)	4.32 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
50.1%

Draw
28.8%

Cacereño
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Ponferradina - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jimenez A. (G) 3. Novoa G. 2. Andujar D. 4. Moltenis B. 19. Lopez A. 14. Fernandez X. 5. Undabarrena E. 16. Frimpong E. 9. Cortes J. 10. Valle B. 18. Vazquez B.	1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 4. Crespo A. 15. Vicente I. 23. El Goumiri O. 17. Berlanga M. 6. Rementeria U. 8. Deco 18. Sanchis R. 7. Fernandez I. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
8. Aguilar Elizalde E. 25. Barredo P. (G) 20. Ferrer P. 23. Jorrin M. 17. Keita A. 26. Kysil V. 12. Lian 11. Mula A. 7. Sergio Benito 15. Sousa V.	3. Barrio J. 5. de Diego J. 19. Gomez C. 20. Gonzalez C. 13. Martinez I. (G) 2. Martinez I. 21. Morales A. 24. Valdera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Moltenis B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', Frimpong E. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
65', Vazquez B. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Andujar D. ⚽, Keita A. (A),
74', Sanchis R. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
74', Fernandez I. ↓, de Diego J. ↑,
79', Andujar D. ↓, Jorrin M. ↑,
80', Cortes J. ↓, Sergio Benito ↑,
82', Deco ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
83', Keita A. 🟨,
84', Fernandez X. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
84', Valle B. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
87', El Goumiri O. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Sergio Benito ⚽,
90+6', Sergio Benito 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 14).

Ponferradina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cacereño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cacereño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ponferradina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ponferradina - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	UD Logroñés - Ponferradina	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.25	Mérida AD - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Cacereño - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Cacereño - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Lugo - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Cacereño - Ponferradina	1:2

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