The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponferradina 26.5%
Draw 29.5%
Mallorca 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.5%
26.5%
56%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.4%
21.8%
68%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina's performance.
Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mallorca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+24%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mallorca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.2%
4.5%
84.3%
Ponferradina - Mallorca Predictions
Users Predictions:
Mallorca will win
(75 of 89 users predict this - 84.27%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.71% – 91.83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
Mallorca is Qualified for LaLiga
Ponferradina has the most likely position - 8 (71.02%), has project points - 57, has currently - 56, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Mallorca has the most likely position - 2 (81.01%), has project points - 83, has currently - 81, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Ponferradina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mallorca is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Mallorca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Mallorca is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
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