Match Info

Date: 4 January 2022, Tuesday


	Ponferradina		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	2	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.83	Watch
	3.95	3.5	1.95
	3.55	3.3	1.94
	3.88	3.46	2.05
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.84	3.58	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.04)	3.42 ↑ (3.08)	1.96 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
25.1%

Draw
27.3%

Espanyol
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

30.1%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

20.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espanyol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espanyol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.9%	18.7%	70.3%

Ponferradina - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). Espanyol will win (votes: 45 - 70.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 59.1% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Espanyol have a series of guest games.

In this match Espanyol is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
31.12.21	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
19.12.21	Ponferradina - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Ponferradina - Ibiza	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.12.21	Leganés - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Ponferradina - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTW
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
31.12.21	Valencia - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
17.12.21	Celta de Vigo - Espanyol	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.12.21	Palencia CA - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.12.21	Espanyol - Levante	4:3 ✺
05.12.21	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.21	Ponferradina - Espanyol	1:4
28.10.20	Espanyol - Ponferradina	2:0

Upcoming Matches