Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Ponte Preta		Grêmio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.3	1.87
	4	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.15	1.87
	4.79	3.32	1.9
	4.4	3.1	1.88
	4.45	3.32	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.7)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	1.88 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
21.6%

Draw
28.8%

Grêmio
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

29.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Ponte Preta - Grêmio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 0.

Ponte Preta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grêmio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ponte Preta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grêmio is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.03.22	Ponte Preta - Ituano	2:2 ✺
12.03.22	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	5:0 ✺
05.03.22	Ponte Preta - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.02.22	FC Cascavel - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.04.22	Grêmio - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Ypiranga - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
23.03.22	Grêmio - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
19.03.22	Internacional RS - Grêmio	0:3 ✺
12.03.22	Grêmio - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
08.11.17	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	0:1
16.07.17	Grêmio - Ponte Preta	3:1
14.09.16	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	3:0
05.06.16	Grêmio - Ponte Preta	1:0
23.08.15	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	0:0
10.05.15	Grêmio - Ponte Preta	3:3
24.11.13	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	1:1

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