Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Pordenone		Crotone

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3.1	3.25	2.25
	3	3.15	2.29
	3.15	3.51	2.35
	3.1	3.25	2.25
	3.13	3.55	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.06)	3.32 ↑ (3.08)	2.27 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
30.2%

Draw
28.3%

Crotone
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

30.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

31%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	26.7%	33.3%

Pordenone - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Crotone will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pordenone: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Pordenone is Relegated to

Crotone is Relegated to

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (100%), has project points - 19, has currently - 17, was already of relegated.

Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (89.09%), has project points - 28, has currently - 25, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 21, very small importance 0, small match rating 10. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Pordenone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crotone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
25.04.22	Nuova Cosenza - Pordenone	3:1 ✺
18.04.22	Pordenone - Benevento	1:4 ✺
09.04.22	Alessandria - Pordenone	2:0 ✺
05.04.22	Pordenone - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Ascoli - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
25.04.22	Crotone - Cremonese	3:1 ✺
18.04.22	SPAL - Crotone	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Crotone - Ternana	1:2 ✺
06.04.22	Vicenza Virtus - Crotone	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Crotone - Perugia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.12.21	Crotone - Pordenone	4:1
13.07.20	Crotone - Pordenone	1:0
08.12.19	Pordenone - Crotone	1:0

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