Match Info

Date: 26 November 2021, Friday


	Lecce		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.8
	1.7	3.75	4.7	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.5
	1.72	4.13	4.85
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.71	3.98	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)	3.79 ↑ (3.5)	4.69 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lecce
55%

Draw
24.9%

Ternana
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

17%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	8.1%	5.4%

Lecce - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: Lecce will win (64 of 74 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (29.45%), has project points - 68, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a good chance of promoted (57%), has a chance of win league (29%).

Ternana has the most likely position - 15 (9.9%), has project points - 49, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lecce is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ternana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lecce is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
20.11.21	Frosinone - Lecce	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Lecce - Parma	4:0 ✺
01.11.21	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
28.10.21	Brescia - Lecce	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Lecce - Perugia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWTT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
20.11.21	Ternana - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Alessandria - Ternana	0:2 ✺
01.11.21	Ternana - Como	1:2 ✺
27.10.21	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	3:1 ✺
23.10.21	Ternana - Vicenza Virtus	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
11.08.13	Ternana - Lecce	2:4 ET

Upcoming Matches