The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lecce 59.1%
Draw 24.3%
Reggina 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
26.3%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
16.2%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-25.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecce that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lecce - Reggina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (33.95%), has project points - 69, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a good chance of promoted (62%), has a chance of win league (34%).
Lecce is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Reggio Calabria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lecce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lecce is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Lecce to win the game is with odds 1.59.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Lecce won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.