The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 10.4%
Draw 19.4%
Ipswich Town 70.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.4%
23%
62.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
22.4%
64.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipswich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Morecambe - Ipswich Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Ipswich will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 47.8% – 85.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Morecambe has the most likely position - 24 (29.42%), has project points - 37, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (72%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ipswich has the most likely position - 1 (30.8%), has project points - 93, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (61%), has a chance of win league (31%).
This event has small quality17, importance52, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Morecambe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ipswich is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ipswich is certain favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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