Match Info

EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: County Ground (Swindon)

Referee: Baines D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Swindon Town		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.7	2.2	Watch
	2.68	3.7	2.22	Watch
	2.8	3.87	2.23
	2.76	3.22	2.52	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.2
	2.7	3.56	2.23	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.56)	3.61 ↓ (3.71)	2.25 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
33.7%

Draw
25.5%

Peterborough United
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

25.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Swindon Town - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ward L. (G) 5. Wright W. (C) 22. Knight-Lebel J. 6. Ball J. 33. McGregor J. 18. Kilkenny G. 44. Oldaker D. 26. Munroe F. 9. Glatzel P. 31. Bodin B. 20. Ehibhatiomhan P.	1. Bass A. (G) 2. Johnston C. (C) 26. Okagbue D. 29. O'Connor T. 23. Mills H. 4. Collins A. 16. Woods B. 11. Frith D. 28. Garbett M. 10. Odoh A. 27. Leonard H.
Substitutes
8. Clarke O. 23. Drinan A. 45. Gray H. 7. Nichols T. 1. Ripley C. (G) 19. Snowdon J. 11. Tabor J.	33. Dornelly J. 8. Khela B. 19. Lindgren G. 17. Lisbie K. 7. Lolos K. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 21. Reyes V. (G)
Coaches
Holloway I.	Williams L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oldaker D. ↓, Drinan A. ↑,
58', Kilkenny G. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
58', Ball J. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
58', Bodin B. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
58', Glatzel P. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
63', Munroe F. 🟨,
65', Frith D. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
77', Garbett M. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
77', Woods B. ↓, O'Brien-Brady D. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Clarke O. ⚽,
89', Odoh A. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
89', Leonard H. ↓, Khela B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0.

Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peterborough has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League Two
29.11.25	Chesterfield - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Swindon Town - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	0:4 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTWW
- Peterborough United
English League One
29.11.25	Doncaster Rovers - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Peterborough United - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
20.11.25	Peterborough United - Stockport County	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Crawley Town - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
English League One
08.11.25	Peterborough United - AFC Wimbledon	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
08.08.23	Peterborough United - Swindon Town	2:1 penalties
English League One
10.04.21	Swindon Town - Peterborough United	0:3
03.10.20	Peterborough United - Swindon Town	3:1
21.01.17	Swindon Town - Peterborough United	0:1
03.09.16	Peterborough United - Swindon Town	2:2
27.02.16	Peterborough United - Swindon Town	1:2
10.10.15	Swindon Town - Peterborough United	1:2

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