Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Shrewsbury Town		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.55
	2.75	3.1	2.55
	2.8	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.63
	2.9	3.23	2.64
	2.7	3.25	2.45
	2.72	3.24	2.59	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.6)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.56 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
33.9%

Draw
29.3%

Port Vale
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28.3%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Shrewsbury Town - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marosi M. (G) 22. Dunkley C. (C) 33. Flanagan T. 5. Feeney M. 7. Winchester C. 17. Bennett E. 14. Perry T. 42. Kenneh N. 27. Mata M. 11. Udoh D. 26. Shipley J.	1. Ripley C. (G) 18. Arblaster O. 14. Ojo F. 17. Iacovitti A. 4. Sang T. 8. Garrity B. 19. Massey G. 6. Smith N. (C) 11. Devine A. 10. Chislett E. 12. Ikpeazu U.
Substitutes
4. Anderson J. 3. Benning M. 9. Bowman R. 13. Burgoyne H. (G) 43. Loughran J. 16. Pierre A. 15. Sobowale T.	20. Conlon T. 27. Debrah J. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 9. Loft R. 16. Lowe J. 21. Plant J. 24. Walters R.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Crosby A.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 16 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Port Vale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shrewsbury have a series of home games.

Recently Port Vale have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
18.11.23	Blackpool - Shrewsbury Town	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	3:2 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Reading	3:2 ✺
07.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Colchester United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW
- Port Vale
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Burton Albion - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Lincoln City - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Wrexham - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Port Vale - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
31.10.23	Mansfield Town - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.02.23	Shrewsbury Town - Port Vale	3:2
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Shrewsbury Town - Port Vale	0:4
English League One
17.09.22	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
English EFL Trophy
03.09.19	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
08.01.19	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 penalties
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	2:4
English EFL Trophy
05.12.17	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	1:2

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