Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 37

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)


	Port Vale		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.25
	2.35	3.2	2.95
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.33	3.31	3.31
	2.33	3.31	3.31
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.32	3.3	3.14	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.11)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	3.14 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
41%

Draw
28.8%

Shrewsbury Town
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.9%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 27. Debrah J. 6. Smith N. (C) 3. Jones D. 4. Sang T. 8. Garrity B. 14. Ojo F. 15. Grant C. 19. Massey G. 20. Weir J. 29. Wilson J.	1. Marosi M. (G) 5. Feeney M. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. Sraha J. 3. Benning M. 18. Bloxham T. 7. Winchester C. 20. Bayliss T. 8. Hinchy J. 26. Shipley J. 11. Udoh D.
Substitutes
10. Chislett E. 25. Dipepa B. 17. Iacovitti A. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 16. Lowe J. 11. Mighten A. 21. Plant J.	17. Bennett E. 13. Burgoyne H. (G) 33. Flanagan T. 21. O'Brien A. 14. Perry T. 15. Sobowale T. 10. Tulloch R.
Coaches
Moore D.	Hurst P.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.

Port Vale has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shrewsbury is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Port Vale will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League One
02.03.24	Derby County - Port Vale	3:0 ✺
27.02.24	Port Vale - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Port Vale - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Reading - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Cheltenham Town - Port Vale	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
02.03.24	Shrewsbury Town - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Reading - Shrewsbury Town	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Shrewsbury Town - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Port Vale	2:1
11.02.23	Shrewsbury Town - Port Vale	3:2
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Shrewsbury Town - Port Vale	0:4
English League One
17.09.22	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
English EFL Trophy
03.09.19	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
08.01.19	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 penalties
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	2:4

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