Match Info

League One - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cardiff City		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.2
	2.08	3.55	3.2
	2.17	3.68	3.3
	2.02	3.59	3.44	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.1	3.59	3.19	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.89)	3.57 (3.57)	3.27 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
45.1%

Draw
26.2%

Stockport County
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.1%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Cardiff City - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stockport will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 50%). Stockport (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 4. Osho G. 12. Chambers C. (C) 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 18. Robertson A. 11. Tanner O. 27. Colwill J. 45. Ashford C. 22. Salech Y.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Olowu J. 33. Hills B. 15. Pye E. 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 27. Bailey O. 26. Norwood O. (C) 14. Edun T. 28. Stokes J. 22. Andresson B. 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
39. Davies I. 2. Fish W. 8. Kellyman O. 44. Kpakio R. 48. Lawlor D. 47. Robinson C. 16. Willock C.	34. Addai C. (G) 7. Diamond J. 3. Dodgson O. 10. Fevrier J. 11. Mothersille M. 41. Okeke J. 23. Osborn B.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Wootton K. ⚽,
27', Wintle R. 🟨,
40', Salech Y. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
45+2', Wootton K. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 1, Colwill J. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Bagan J. 🟨,
56', Andresson B. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
68', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
68', Colwill J. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
74', Kellyman O. 🟨,
82', Norwood O. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
82', Olowu J. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,
86', Robertson A. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
87', Stokes J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Stockport: Bate L. (Knee Injury) Hoskonen A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Kellyman O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stockport: Connolly C. (Injury) Onyango T. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English League One for now

Stockport County: 23.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stockport County	9	5	1	3	20:11	9	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League One
17.01.26	Bradford City - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Leyton Orient - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWTW
- Stockport County
English League One
17.01.26	Stockport County - Rotherham United	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Stockport County - Harrogate Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
10.01.26	Stockport County - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Reading - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Northampton Town - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.09.25	Stockport County - Cardiff City	1:1

Upcoming Matches