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Current Win Probability
Leyton Orient 45.3%
Draw 28.2%
Port Vale 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
28.3%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
28.4%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95.6%
0%
4.4%
Leyton Orient - Port Vale Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Leyton Orient will win
(43 of 45 users predict this - 95.56%). Confidence interval (95%): 89.54% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leyton Orient will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bachmann D. (G) 5. Happe D. 16. Casey K. 2. James T. 14. Craig M. 28. Clare S. 15. Bakinson T. 44. Archibald T. (C) 17. Koroma J. 7. O'Neill O. 32. Ballard D.
46. Gauci J. (G) 18. Croasdale R. 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. 15. Gordon L. 14. Ojo F. 24. Kyle John 8. Garrity B. (C) 10. Brown D. 19. Waine B. 11. Archer E.
Substitutes
22. Abdulai A. 33. Cahill K. (G) 9. Matthews A. 11. Mitchell D. 21. Moorhouse J. 4. Simpson J. 25. Wellens C.
13. Amos B. (G) 33. Hall G. 3. Headley J. 4. Heneghan B. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 9. Stockley J. 12. Walters R.
Coaches
Wellens R.
Brady J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Kyle John ⚽, Garrity B. (A),
22', Ojo F. 🟨,
34', Ballard D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Brown D. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
58', Ojo F. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
58', Waine B. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
63', Archer E. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
67', O'Neill O. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
68', Craig M. ↓, Moorhouse J. ↑,
72', Gordon L. 🟨,
78', Koroma J. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
80', Casey K. 🟨,
86', Archibald T. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
90+1', Gordon L. ↓, Heneghan B. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2.
Leyton Orient has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Port Vale has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Leyton Orient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Leyton Orient will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Clare S.
(Inactive)
Forrester W.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Archer E.
(Inactive)
Byers G.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
Outrights of English League One for now
Leyton Orient: 0.83%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Leyton Orient
9
3
2
4
13:11
2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Leyton Orient - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.39%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Port Vale - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.26%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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Bachmann D. (G) 
Happe D. 
James T. 
Craig M. 
Koroma J. 
O'Neill O. 
Gauci J. (G) 
Gordon L. 
Ojo F. 
Brown D. 
Waine B. 
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