The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 55%
Draw 24.4%
Chicago Fire 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
26.5%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
23.8%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.
Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Fire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.1%
3.2%
9.7%
Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire Predictions
Users Predictions:
Portland Timbers will win
(27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bingham D. (G) 15. Miller E. 13. Zuparic D. 18. McGraw Z. 5. Bravo C. 30. Moreno S. 22. Paredes C. 21. Chara D. (C) 27. Asprilla D. 20. Evander 7. Boli F.
34. Brady C. (G) 2. Souquet A. 22. Pineda M. 5. Czichos R. 20. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 31. Navarro F. 30. Gimenez G. 3. Aceves D. 21. Herbers F. 11. Przybylko K. 17. Gutierrez B.
Substitutes
10. Blanco S. 92. Caliskan N. 16. Gutierrez D. 31. Ivacic A. (G) 44. Loria M. 33. Mabiala L. 99. Nathan Fogaca 11. Niezgoda J. 14. Rasmussen J.
27. Burks K. 24. Dean J. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 23. Kamara K. 19. Koutsias G. 16. Omsberg W. 48. Ostrem C. 18. Richey S. (G) 32. Rodriguez M.
Coaches
Savarese G.
Klopas F.
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
Portland has the most likely position - 8 (9.56%), project points - 44, currently - 20, a good chance of playoffs (66%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).
Chicago has the most likely position - 14 (21.81%), project points - 38, currently - 17, a small chance of playoffs (15%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality38, small importance21, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Portland won 2.
Recent matches Portland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Chicago is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Portland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Portland is a favorite.
There will not play in Portland: Ayala D.
(Knee Injury)
Bonilla P.
(Muscle Injury)
Chara Y.
(Injury)
Mora F.
(Knee Injury)
Williamson E.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C.
(Injury)
Teran C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Brady C.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Portland won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Portland won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.
Watch
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Bingham D. (G) 
Zuparic D. 
Bravo C. 
Moreno S. 
Paredes C. 
Evander 
Boli F. 
Souquet A. 
Czichos R. 
Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 
Przybylko K. 
Ivacic A. (G) 
Loria M. 
Mabiala L. 
Haile-Selassie M. 
Kamara K. 
Koutsias G. 
Savarese G. 
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