Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Providence Park (Portland)

Referee: Saghafi N. (Usa)


	Portland Timbers		New York City

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2	3.4	3.5
	1.97	3.6	3.6
	2.04	3.7	3.72
	1.95	3.25	3.25
	2.01	3.6	3.54	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.89)	3.52 ↑ (3.43)	3.53 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Timbers
46.8%

Draw
26.6%

New York City
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.9%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

24.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Portland Timbers - New York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). NY City will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ivacic A. (G) 29. Mosquera J. D. 13. Zuparic D. 33. Mabiala L. 5. Bravo C. 21. Chara D. (C) 22. Paredes C. 30. Moreno S. 20. Evander 44. Loria M. 7. Boli F.	49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 80. Haak J. 4. Chanot M. (C) 35. Ilenic M. 55. Parks K. 7. Morales A. 22. O'Toole K. 10. Rodriguez S. 11. Gabriel Pereira 43. Talles Magno
Substitutes
1. Bingham D. (G) 92. Caliskan N. 16. Gutierrez D. 15. Miller E. 9. Mora F. 99. Nathan Fogaca 11. Niezgoda J. 14. Rasmussen J.	93. Alfaro J. 1. Barraza L. (G) 33. Benalcazar N. 3. Cufre B. E. 21. Jasson A. 30. Owusu S. 17. Pellegrini M. 19. Segal G. 34. Turnbull S.
Coaches
Savarese G.	Cushing N.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).

Portland has the most likely position - 8 (9.56%), project points - 44, currently - 20, a good chance of playoffs (66%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

NY City has the most likely position - 11 (12.03%), project points - 43, currently - 18, a chance of playoffs (43%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portland won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Portland will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Portland: Ayala D. (Knee Injury) Bonilla P. (Muscle Injury) Chara Y. (Injury) Mora F. (Knee Injury) Williamson E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in NY City: Thiago Martins (Ankle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Portland won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Portland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Timbers
MLS
21.06.23	Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
17.06.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Portland Timbers	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Portland Timbers - FC Dallas	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWTL
- New York City FC
MLS
21.06.23	Atlanta United - New York City	2:2 ✺
17.06.23	New York City - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Real Salt Lake - New York City	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	New York City - New England Revolution	0:0 ✺
31.05.23	New York City - Cincinnati	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
11.12.21	Portland Timbers - New York City	1:2 penalties
01.08.20	New York City - Portland Timbers	1:3
07.07.19	New York City - Portland Timbers	0:1
22.04.18	Portland Timbers - New York City	3:0
09.09.17	New York City - Portland Timbers	0:1
15.05.16	Portland Timbers - New York City	1:2
19.04.15	New York City - Portland Timbers	0:1

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