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Current Win Probability
Porto 18.2%
Draw 27.4%
Chelsea 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.8%
27%
54.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
16.8%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-20.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
19.1%
13.8%
67%
Porto - Chelsea Predictions
Users Predictions:
188 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 36 - 19.1%). Chelsea will win (votes: 126 - 67%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 13.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 60.3% – 73.7%.The data is statistically significant.
Porto was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (19%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Chelsea was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (81%), has a chance of final (37%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Recently Chelsea have a series of home games.
In this match Chelsea is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Porto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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