Match Info

Capixaba - Round 9

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Cariacica)


	Porto Vitória		Vilavelhense

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6.3
	1.45	3.95	6.16
	1.46	3.96	6.39	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.41	3.92	7.27
	1.44	4	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.32)	3.89 ↓ (4.52)	6.58 ↓ (8.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto Vitória
62.9%

Draw
23.3%

Vilavelhense
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

20.2%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

17%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto Vitória's form might have worsened.

Vilavelhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Mariano (G) 5. Gama 21. Henrique Melo 3. Joao Victor 4. Lucas Peres 11. Luiz Henrique 7. Matheus Firmino 10. Renato Henrique 22. Taleco 9. Victor Rangel 6. Wesllen Reis	1. Lucas Pacheco (G) 5. Alberto 8. Fabio 2. Gabriel Amorim 11. Guilherme 4. Jomar 10. Juninho 6. Kainandro 7. Kelvin 3. Palacios Cantillo J. D. 9. Silva D.
Substitutes
12. Aydhan Martins (G) 20. Cardoso K. 13. Ferrugem 18. Josue 38. Leo Rodrigues (G) 14. Matheus Guedes 15. Matheus Santos 17. Miguel . Pedro Felipe 19. Renie 16. Thallyson	19. Almeida W. 21. Campos Almeida E. d. S. 15. Davi Freitas 18. Davis 14. Fellipi Marques 92. Joao Gomes (G) 22. Joao Rozario 91. Matheus Cabral (G) 20. Robert O. 16. Salah 13. Sanchez A. 17. Shaider

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Joao Victor 🟨,
62', Henrique Melo ↓, Matheus Santos ↑,
62', Victor Rangel ↓, Pedro Felipe ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Pedro Felipe ⚽,
76', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
86', Jomar ↓, Robert O. ↑,
86', Alberto ↓, Joao Rozario ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Vilavelhense is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Porto Vitória has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vilavelhense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vilavelhense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Porto Vitória is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto Vitória won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
08.02.26	Noroeste - Porto Vitória	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Porto Vitória - Serra	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Porto Vitória	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco-VN	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTTL
- Vilavelhense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
09.02.26	Vilavelhense - Serra	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Rio Branco-VN - Vilavelhense	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Vilavelhense - Forte Rio Bananal	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Vilavelhense - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
30.04.25	Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense	5:0
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
17.02.25	Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense	0:1
17.02.23	Vilavelhense - Porto Vitória	1:4

Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide